Last week, Senate Republicans confirmed their 23rd federal
appeals court judge, breaking a record for the number confirmed during a
President's first two years. The previous record was set by President
George H. W. Bush at 22 confirmations. "The Senate continues to
confirm impressive nominees whom President Trump has asked to serve our country," said Senate Majority Leader, Mitch McConnell. This opinion is contested by Senator Diane Feinstein who
complained that the latest appointment was a man “who lacks judicial experience
and has a blatantly political record.”
Clearly, Republicans have rushed to confirm Trump's nominees for the
bench while they enjoy a Senate majority. In addition, the probable confirmation
of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court bench means the Republican Party will have
soon a lock on and shape the direction of U.S. court rulings for decades. The
appointees are all Republicans who share similar ideologies. Let’s not forget
that a century ago, Republican ideology had it that if you were poor, it was a
sin but if you were rich, it was a sign that you were favoured by God.
The Republicans in Congress,
as well as the executive branch, give the impression that they have a divine
right to rule. I am not saying that all Republicans are bad and all Democrats
are good. However, Congressional Republicans enjoy so much power nowadays, not
just because of their political majorities but also because the Democrats seem weak
and rudderless. And in politics, perception is usually more important than
reality.
Will the November
mid-term elections change the balance in Congress? I shall be interested to see
what big issues emerge in the campaign. There are three where the parties are
poles apart. Immigration: Republicans want a strong, ‘keep out of America’ policy,
Democrats are more measured. For example, they care about children being
separated from their ‘illegal’ immigrant parents. Far too many Republican
politicians don’t appear to be bothered about this. Guns: Republicans support
Second Amendment rights, notwithstanding that mass shootings and murders occur
with far too much regularity. The NRA and other gun groups are content they
won’t be touched by the law. Their stance is: ‘people need weapons to defend
themselves.’ I’d be curious to know how many gun holders have stayed safe by
discharging their weapons first. Will their campaign contributions be publicised?
Democrats favour more gun control but know it is a lost cause. The courts are
against them.
Finally, Abortion: Democrats
are inclined to be pro-choice, Republicans generally are pro-life and support
the dismantling of Roe v Wade. Interestingly, the President believes the
decision should not rest with the federal government; it is an issue for the
individual states. He may be right. However, those who support pro-life,
coupled with the right to force a woman to give birth, surely should accept some
responsibility for the welfare and upbringing of the child? In western society,
rights are balanced with equal responsibility.
On these three issues, it
seems the Republicans have a lot of support from voters. Does this mean that
the Democrats will lose in November? The polls currently indicate a swing to
the Democrats but this side of the aisle needs to do better than simply concentrate
on Trump’s shortcomings. In contrast, the Trump administration and its
political supporters are not bothered by the President’s well-publicised
positions on women, minorities and people of colour. There is even support for
his position on water-boarding. Evidently it is alright to drown a man half to
death.
Once Trump was elected to
the White House, theory has it that he became the President of all the people,
not just those who voted for him. This is not evident in his acts. For example,
take the American environment. Reviving the coal industry may be good for a few
people in Pennsylvania but there is no such thing as clean coal, whatever the
executive branch and environment ‘experts’ might say. Scott Pruitt, the
discredited and sacked Secretary of State for the Environment, has left an
Environment Protection Agency whose staff fear their ability to protect public
health is much diminished.
The Trump administration
has no record worth mentioning on the environment. To pull out of the Paris
Accords on grounds of cost is ridiculous. If Planet Earth is irretrievably
damaged, how will future generations benefit, let alone exist? But the
Republicans are in charge and too often demonstrate a lack of caring about the
human race. Their attitude, harnessed by America First, is so misguided.
Trump bleats about unfair
trade and how America has been robbed by China and the European Union nations,
not to mention its neighbour, Canada. The administration has imposed savage trade
tariffs. Congress did nothing to stop it. Under the Commerce clause in the
Constitution, Congress had the legal right to intervene but didn’t do so. Now
Trump finds he has to bail out American farmers to the tune of $12 billion
because of tariffs.
Trump’s aim is to hit
those who trade with America by stopping imports. For example, foreign steel
prices have risen by 25% for American buyers. In turn, this forces American
industry to buy American, so the theory goes. World trade is complicated. It is
probable that in the short term, the American steel industry cannot supply the type
of steel required by American manufacturers and when it can, the cost will not
be competitive for buyers. Furthermore, American exporters will find their
markets cut off in the tit-for-tat tariff exchanges. Trump ignored advice from
experts and the history of trade wars. He relied on instinct. Congress should
have stopped him. When standing up to the man in the Oval Office, Congress has
taken a knee.
Trump does not seem to rely
on research, just hunches or gut, and he notoriously fails to study briefs. He
seems to rely almost exclusively on Fox News for facts. His tax breaks for
American workers are working in the short term but at a savage cost. The poor
will not benefit and welfare programmes will be scrapped. So, in my eyes, this
makes Trump the President for the upper middle classes and, especially, the
wealthy, his friends, his donors and himself.
I believe Trump socialises
with and speaks to a very small group of people, mostly billionaires, who
believe everything has a price and profit is all-important. Others in Trump’s
coterie are Republicans who believe America and its institutions belong to
them. I include in this the Republicans
in Congress, the Supreme Court and, of course, the White House. These people
give the clear impression they will stop at nothing to keep what they now hold.
Many welcomed, some retrospectively, Russian interference in the 2016 election to
defeat Hillary Clinton. This is in direct contravention to what the Founding
Fathers wanted, not to mention the law.
George Washington and Thomas
Jefferson both warned against foreign entanglements, so it is never surprising
when a President moves towards isolationism. All Presidents practice America
First, regardless of political persuasion. Trump didn’t invent it. But unlike
his predecessors, he behaves as if the rest of the free world, including America’s
firm allies, are less than secondary. Instead, he cosies up to North Korea and
Russia, his nation’s sworn enemies. He relies on gut instinct that he can make
a better deal than anyone else with these duplicitous regimes.
In the past week or so,
he has insulted the German Chancellor, suggesting Germany is in thrall to
Russia because of energy supply. Who else will the Russians sell to? Next he
came to UK where he diminished our Prime Minister by telling her she had messed
up Brexit, and admonished her for not following his advice on Brexit. Whilst
it’s true that the negotiations with EU have so far been slow and unproductive,
the intervention of the President gives energy to those in the EU with whom Mrs
May must negotiate.
Then Trump went to
Helsinki where he asked to kiss Mr Putin’s posterior. “No,” he said, “Mr Putin
and Russia did not interfere in the 2016 Presidential election.” Two days
later, Trump walked this statement back. “I misspoke,” he said. He asserted he
meant the very opposite of what he had said. Could it be advisers told him that
even the friendliest of Republican leadership, as well as the media, were up in
arms? Make no mistake, Mr Trump is a loose cannon, a danger to world peace and
world economics, not to mention linguistic accuracy and truth.
When it comes to foreign
policy, does the middle-American public care? The evidence suggests it does not.
This is one reason why the Republicans may do far better than expected. Isolationism
plays well in the Rust Belt and parts of the Mid-west. Here we find Trump
people, those disaffected by politicians and who hate the elite.
I await the next few
months with both interest and dread. It will be a nasty campaign. My biggest
fear is that American politicians will behave so badly that America’s political
divisiveness will become explosively worse. Times have indeed changed since
President Obama.
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