Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Elections, Elections, Elections


Apart from my family and friends, the two most important interests that occupy me are sport and politics. Both provide the stuff of life, the OMG moments that help make time on the planet worthwhile. For example, as most of you know, I have been a fanatical supporter of Tottenham Hotspurs, virtually from birth. This season, they had a remote opportunity of winning "The Double", namely both the Premier League and the FA Cup. It can't happen now but there’s always next season? And if it did, OMG? I’ll be in Holy Moly country.

As for politics, I am waiting to read a tweet from President Frump along the lines of: "That effing May has called a British General Election. FAKE POLITICS. She wants to lose so she doesn't have to entertain me on my state visit to England. Never mind, Queen Betty will be fine with me. I'll be back on the Brit newspapers front pages before you can say nuke."

For the third time in as many years, we Brits are going to the polls. In the good old days, it was once or twice in five years. It’s so wearying. In case my American readers are confused about what has happened in the little old kingdom of Westminster, here's the explanation. Back in 2010, the Conservative Party, led by David Cameron, won the General Election but did not have enough seats for an overall parliamentary majority. So, Cameron and Nick Clegg, the leader of the Liberal Democrats, did a deal, forming a coalition government, something which does not and, indeed, cannot occur under the American governmental system.

It was a term of the deal that the 2010 Coalition government would run its full five year term. Hitherto, the British Prime Minister had the sole right to call a General Election at any time during parliament’s five year term, so long as six weeks’ prior notice is given. Mr Clegg wanted to avoid a situation where a popular Cameron government could call for an early election and kick the Liberal Democrats out of power and back into the long grass. So the Coalition passed The Fixed Term Parliaments Act, requiring our government to serve its full five year term unless either the government lost a vote of confidence in the House of Commons, or Parliament passed a motion to dissolve, which passed with a two thirds majority. And this is exactly what happened last week. Within 24 hours of announcing the new election, Mrs May had won her motion to avoid the Fixed Term Act.

Could this happen in America? No. Imagine The Frump being rebuffed by the Republican majority in Congress and the Courts again and again over a period of months and years. He does not have the power to go to the American people before 2020 to ask whether they want to see his administration repeatedly being denied. His choices are limited: he can hope for better things after a mid-term election in 2018, run again in 2020 in the hope that he will get a very clear mandate for his policies, or he can resign the office. It follows that in certain respects, the so-called ‘most powerful man in the world’ has less power than our Prime Minister. Indeed, if Mrs May wins the June election, I expect the new Conservative government will repeal The Fixed Parliament Act and go back to the old system where a Prime Minister has the prerogative to call a general election whenever he or she chooses. I can see the President going both green and crimson, which would make an unfortunate clash with his orange hair and gold curtains!

I suspect my American friends will look upon our process of an election campaign with envy. Not only are there statutory limits on election expenditures but the time between the declaration of the election and voting day is often a mere 42 days. Compare this with American election expenditures which runs in the billions, while the campaign lasts for two years or more.

Don't be too envious. I'm anticipating the foulest, dirtiest UK election ever where prejudice will trump policy, forgive the “t” word. I wonder when our political leaders will adopt the Trump campaigning methods of talking over an opponent, vilifying and lying about his or her record and bringing out the worst in people. Already, Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, has talked about “a rigged system.” Even worse, the debate is “hard Brexit and soft Brexit.” Why can’t our leaders understand that what is needed is smart Brexit.

Politics is a serious business, fortunately often tinged with humor, but it is not a relentless war where victory at any cost is worthwhile. Policy, not personality, should be supreme. Sadly, this is no longer the case. Perception is far more important than reality these days when it comes to politics.

 
As I am confident that El Trumpo will not blow up the Korean peninsula during the next week or so, I am taking a break. I'll be back in mid-May.

 

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