It is a peculiarity of politics in the
western democracies that voters have short memories. For example, in the UK our
first past the vote electoral system finds Party A voted into power as an
antidote to the failed policies of Party B, only to find an unchanged and
unrepentant Party B back in power just few short years later. And it is not
just the political parties who benefit. Individuals transgress and are removed
from power, only to find themselves welcomed back to the fold. Tony Blair
welcomed Peter Mandelson back to his cabinet not once but twice, after
Mandelson had transgressed and broken rules.
And
so it was, a few days ago, that a chill sense of foreboding crept down my spine
when The Washington Post reported that influential House conservatives are
privately plotting a possible leadership challenge to House Speaker Paul D.
Ryan. The group has floated the idea of recruiting former House Speaker Newt
Gingrich as a potential replacement for Ryan. Gingrich is no longer a member of
Congress but, oddly, the Constitution does not require that an elected member
of the House serve as Speaker.
Unlike the Speaker in the British
parliament, the office of the US Speaker is vested with enormous powers. He or
she administers proceedings on the House floor, including recognition of members
to speak or make motions and appointment to committees. The Speaker’s role as
“elect of the elect” places him in a highly visible position with the public.
He is leader of the House majority party conference and often responsible for
airing and defending the majority party’s legislative agenda, including calling
or deferring votes.
So, here comes the memory thing. In the
1994 mid-term elections, Bill Clinton found himself isolated when the Republicans
won majorities in both Houses of Congress. Gingrich was elected by House
Republicans as Speaker and what followed was what Gingrich termed "The
Contract with America." He sought to emulate Franklin Roosevelt's first
100 days by having the House pass ten major and important pieces of
legislation.
The proposed new laws were radical and controversial
but easy to understand, covering all aspects of American politics and society. Here
are some examples: The Fiscal Responsibility Act represented the ideological
belief that there should not be deficits. Taking Back Our Streets Act contained
numerous provisions to make the death penalty more effective including reducing
appellate rights. The Personal Responsibility Act cut aid to unmarried mothers
under the age of 18. The American Dream Restoration Act gave a $500 tax credit
per child and tax relief for families earning up to $200,000 pa. The Citizen
Legislature Act imposed term limits on Congress members: two terms for senators
and six for Representatives.
One effect of the mid-term victory and the
proposed laws was to put Gingrich to the top of the political heap. The
atmosphere in the House was mixed, with the Republicans jubilant and the
Democrats depressed. But, as is often the case, the Senate came to the rescue.
The Gingrich Bills passed the House but not the Senate, where it was recognised
that the public had voted against the status quo, not for the Contract with
America.
Then in the run-up to the 1996 election,
Clinton adopted the popular issues as his own while the economy improved and
made the Republicans, especially Gingrich, appear harsh, uncaring and
victimisers of women and children. Gingrich’s arrogance was exposed for good
and all when he complained to the media about his seating allocation on Air
Force One during the Presidential trip to Israel for Yitzhak Rubin’s funeral. His
credibility was shot to pieces.
I doubt that Gingrich, undoubtedly a
clever politician, has changed much. He remains as he ever was, a Southern
politician enflamed with right wing ideology who would run the House of
Representatives as his personal fiefdom if ever he was re-elected as Speaker.
It’s unthinkable…..but so was President Trump and, for us Brits, Leader of the
Opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, a man whose own Party is divided about his
leadership, is now more than a possibility for PM. Funny old world.
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